The weather, currently.

A very weak cold front will pass through South Florida on Wednesday afternoon, doing very little to disrupt the norm of mostly clear and warm weather. Moisture ahead of the front, which usually generates a line of showers in these cases, will be very low, therefore no more than a few additional isolated showers are expected.

Otherwise, rain chances will be around 20-30% across Miami and Ft Lauderdale, mainly near the east coast once again. And temperatures will only dip a degree or two behind the front, remaining in the mid to upper 80s on Wednesday and Thursday and around 70 degrees overnight.

It won’t be the perfect start to November, however, as hazards will exist at sea and along the coast. A Gale Watch will be in effect starting Wednesday due to gusty winds over open waters; these will also create a Moderate Risk of Rip Currents along Atlantic beaches. The Coastal Flood Advisory will also remain in effect as these winds push the high lunar tides over land, aiding more of the sunny-day flooding we now deal with here in South Florida.

El tiempo, actualmente.

Un frente frío muy débil pasará por el sur de Florida el miércoles por la tarde, haciendo muy poco para alterar la norma de tiempo mayormente despejado y cálido. La humedad adelante del frente, que suele generar una línea de aguaceros en estos casos, será muy baja, por lo que no se esperan más que unos pocos aguaceros aislados adicionales.

Mas allá de eso, las posibilidades de lluvia serán de 20-30% en Miami y Ft Lauderdale, principalmente cerca de la costa este otra vez. Y las temperaturas solo bajarán uno o dos grados detrás del frente, permaneciendo en los rangos medio a alto de los 80 grados el miércoles y jueves y alrededor de 70 grados durante la noche.

Sin embargo, no será el comienzo perfecto de noviembre, ya que existirán peligros en el mar y a lo largo de la costa. Una Vigilancia de Vientos de Galerna estará vigente a partir del miércoles debido a ráfagas fuertes en aguas abiertas; esto también creará un Riesgo Moderado de Corrientes de Resaca a lo largo de las playas del Atlántico. La Advertencia de Inundaciones Costeras también permanecerá vigente a medida que estos vientos empujen las mareas lunares altas sobre la tierra, contribuyendo a más inundaciones en días soleados que ahora enfrentamos aquí en el sur de Florida.

—John Morales

What you need to know, currently.

The data are in, and October 2023 was the hottest October in history.

With a year so unusually warm as this, it’s sometimes easy to assume that scientists didn’t see it coming. That’s not quite true. In fact, global climate models created 10 years ago still are doing a great job of capturing how extreme this year is.

And it’s not just this year. In general, global temperatures in recent years have been tracking right along the middle of where scientists thought they’d be by now assuming emissions kept rising. (They have.) In fact, temperatures are not too far off from where scientists back in the 1980s thought they’d be right now, assuming a scenario of only limited climate action came true. (It has.)

So, we saw this coming. And we should have done more to stop it. And we know that ramped up action in the coming years will still work.

In the 35 years since the 1988 congressional testimony of NASA climate scientist James Hansen, humanity has now used effectively all of its atmospheric carbon budget for keeping global warming at or below 1.5°C since preindustrial levels. But it doesn’t have to go much further than that if we do what we know we need to do.

— Eric Holthaus

What you can do, currently.

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